POSCO

Corporate Overview

POSCO is the largest steel production company in Korea, established in 1968 by the Korean governmental initiatives. The mainly engaged businesses are iron making, steel making, and production and sales of rolled steel products. The Korean government, governmental entities or banks were major shareholders in the early stage. The stake has kept decreasing and remained below a digit after 2000 when the privatization completed. The stock price of POSCO has been declining, since it reached the highest over the late Noughties.

Valuation

This valuation is worth as reference only because of incomplete provided information, incomplete interpretation of the provided information, unsophisticated assumptions to forecast future performance, and so on. When some figures in the financial statements are not accurately given, the figures are used to be paralleled with related other figures. When there is a difference among figures and the difference makes an ignorable difference in the outcome, it may be ignored. Steady state is assumed. A detailed prediction of mid-term performance was not performed. For forecast, the average of the last three years was used for it seemed to be not deviant from the trend much and reflecting the variation over the specific time period well. The mid-term forecast may be enhanced, provided any detailed information about the mid-term performance is given.
Users can check about how the values change by substituting the key value drivers including growth rate of Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes (NOPLAT), Return On Invested Capital (ROIC), Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), etc. The formula to calculate each figure in a cell of the attached EXCEL file sheets is specified in the memo inserted to the cell.

 

The Value of POSCO Equity

Value of Equity (after intangible assets), unit: won
Operating value33,384,108,087,686
Excess market security7,227,263,542,738
Financial fixed assets(Investment and advances)17,263,250,891,619
Enterprise value57,874,622,522,043
Debt4,142,853,846,481
Retirement-related liability-
Equity value53,731,768,675,562
Most recent shares outstanding87,186,835
Value per share616,283

※ Historical financial statements used: from year 2011~2016

Value of Equity (before intangible assets), unit: won
Operating value32,779,392,011,766
Excess market security7,227,263,542,738
Financial fixed assets(Investment and advances)17,263,250,891,619
Enterprise value57,269,906,446,123
Debt4,142,853,846,481
Retirement-related liability-
Equity value53,127,052,599,642
Most recent shares outstanding87,186,835
Value per share609,347

※ Historical financial statements used: from year 2011~2016

The Risk Premium and Cost of POSCO Equity

Risk premiumBetaCost of equity
Monthly data basis(from the year of 2000)6.0%0.8731.0699
Monthly data basis(from the year of 2011 to 2016)-5.60%
0.9341.0083
Daily data basis
(From January, 2011 to December, 2016)
Total-8.80%0.9381.0119
Exclusion out of 1 standard deviation for KOSPI10.10%0.9341.1234
Exclusion out of 2 standard deviations for KOSPI2.80%0.951.0549
Exclusion out of 3 standard deviations for KOSPI2.40%0.9571.0273

※ This work is worth as reference only because of inaccuracy.