Cyclical Behavior of Key Macroeconomic Variables for the R.O.K. Economy (2)

: Annual Aggregate Consumption Expenditure of Household

 

Some time series data for the R.O.K. macroeconomic variables are available annually and quarterly while some are not available quarterly or at all. Annual consumption data for R.O.K. is available. The statistics were calculated from logarithmically transformed and then H-P-filtered data.

The Cross Correlation of Annual Aggregate Consumption Expenditure of Household with Real Gross Domestic Product over Time, 1970-2017

VariableSD%Cross Correlation of Output with
X(-5)X(-4)X(-3)X(-2)X(-1)X[Kor]X(1)X(2)X(3)X(4)X(5)
GDP 0.232-0.052-0.166-0.1290.0310.4681.0000.4680.031-0.129-0.166-0.052
FCONS 0.2420.023-0.139-0.183-0.0890.2160.7930.3870.044-0.104-0.1250.145
CONS 0.2250.023-0.132-0.172-0.0620.2980.8180.3930.044-0.113-0.1430.119
CD 1.0570.199-0.084-0.154-0.0620.3290.7230.031-0.324-0.411-0.3130.044
PSECD 0.787-0.250-0.383-0.372-0.1530.2530.6810.4570.2100.1040.0800.224
CND 0.226-0.075-0.136-0.137-0.0860.1540.6940.4070.2380.1540.0770.198
CSERV 0.189 0.368 0.2130.0780.0860.2580.5710.147-0.281-0.437-0.413-0.056
FCONSABR 5.3050.100-0.175-0.269-0.336-0.2240.1640.1780.0790.0620.0750.185
FCONSOTNR 4.754 0.141 0.1260.1290.2800.3100.058-0.060-0.024-0.032-0.139-0.300

Notes

SD%: The square root of (average of (cycle/trend)^2 ); GDP: Gross Domestic Product; FCONS: Final consumption expenditure of resident households on the territory and abroad; CONS: Final consumption expenditure of households on the territory; CD: Consumption of durable goods; PSECD: Consumption of semi-durable goods; CND: Consumption of non-durable goods; CSERV: Consumption of services; FCONSABR: Final Consumption expenditure of resident households abroad; FCONSOTNR: Final consumption expenditure of non-resident households on the territory