Cyclical Behavior of Key Macroeconomic Variables for the R.O.K. Economy (3)

: Annual Gross Capital Formation by Type

 

Some time series data for the R.O.K. macroeconomic variables are available annually and quarterly while some are not available quarterly or at all. The original data are not seasonally-adjusted. The statistics were calculated from logarithmically transformed and then H-P-filtered data.

The Cross Correlation of Annual Gross Capital Formation by Type with Real Gross Domestic Product over Time, 1970-2017

VariableSD%Cross Correlation of Output with
X(-5)X(-4)X(-3)X(-2)X(-1)X[Kor]X(1)X(2)X(3)X(4)X(5)
GDP 0.232-0.052-0.166-0.1290.0310.4681.0000.4680.031-0.129-0.166-0.052
INV 0.885-0.151-0.350-0.364-0.2590.1820.7980.4520.0970.0680.0430.035
INVF 0.823-0.230-0.430-0.480-0.3030.2590.7730.5470.2240.1040.0280.040
CONST 0.758 0.161-0.211-0.307-0.2690.1900.5820.4980.2400.0750.0420.060
BUILDINGS1.202-0.125-0.118-0.199-0.1560.2450.6090.5360.2420.035-0.052-0.036
INVR 1.603-0.125-0.072-0.117-0.0750.2500.4720.4110.2210.0870.0570.000
INVN 1.214 -0.098 -0.171-0.283-0.2460.1790.6610.5900.233-0.038-0.209-0.086
OTHCONST 0.679-0.175-0.342-0.409-0.405-0.1050.1250.0890.0770.0970.2250.288
FACILINV1.355-0.214-0.504-0.502-0.2580.2760.8010.4530.1410.1130.0420.053
TransEQUIP1.413-0.214-0.347-0.158-0.0310.2970.6310.2240.0300.1030.1210.221
MachinEQUIP1.762-0.198-0.528-0.586-0.3240.2320.7480.4520.1610.1020.006-0.009
INTELINV0.897-0.229-0.419-0.419-0.1650.2340.5700.380-0.022-0.167-0.259-0.259
R&D0.991-0.122-0.321-0.424-0.1290.3110.5660.325-0.129-0.281-0.199-0.185
OTHINTELL1.545-0.326-0.398-0.236-0.1540.0350.3770.3870.2610.122-0.228-0.272
Ch.INV124.061 0.079 -0.0490.0000.0360.2660.6260.056-0.215-0.059-0.037-0.003

Notes

SD%: The square root of (average of (cycle/trend)^2 ); INV: Gross capital formation; INVF: Gross fixed capital formation; CONST: Construction; BUILDINGS: Buildings; INVR: Residential buildings; INVN: Non-residential buildings; OTHCONST: Other constructions; FACILINV: Facility investment; TransEQUIP: Transport equipment; MachinEQUIP: Machinery and equipment; INTELINV: Intellectual property products; R&D: Research and experimental development; OTHINTEL: Other intellectual property products; Ch.INV: Changes in inventories